Season review · 2025/26
The Annual
The season, closed and audited. Five champions — every one of them ahead of its expected points. A —-rated Player of the Year and a teenager level with him; the Bundesliga's corner metronome; and one January afternoon when a —-point Elo gap fell over. Every number below is the site's own, and every verdict links into the tool that computed it.
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The champions
Five crowns, all ahead of the numbers
Every 2025/26 champion finished above its expected points. — stretched the ledger furthest — — points banked against a fair — — while —'s —-point title ran closest to what its chances actually priced.
| League | Champion | Pts | vs xPts |
|---|
The luck table
Where the ledger disagrees
Resimulate every match from its chances and the table talks back. — collected the season's largest overshoot, — points on its underlying numbers, while — paid the heaviest price of the year.
| League | Overachiever | Δ | Underachiever | Δ |
|---|
The players
A striker, a winger, a teenager
— is the Player of the Year — the highest cross-league adjusted rating in the merged pool at —. — tops points-above-replacement at — (attacking output only — the measure's honest caveat), and —, at —, posts the same headline rating as the winner.
Finishing
The cleanest and the coldest boot
These are career-window shrunk multipliers, not one season's hot streak. Over — non-penalty shots, — scores — above what the chances say he should; over —, — finishes — below expectation.
Set pieces
The corner metronome
— delivered — corners in 2025/26 — the busiest workload on the takers board, and the same corner-volume metric the Dead Ball Lab itself sorts by.
The dugout
The bench that tilted the pitch
Measured on his own — matches, —'s — created — more expected goals per game than they conceded — the best chance ledger of any 2025/26 stint in the Dugout.
The shock
The afternoon the table blinked
On —, — arrived at — — Elo points the weaker side and won — — the largest pre-match gap overcome anywhere in the Big 5 all season.
The power shift
Twelve months of Elo, two directions
From the first monthly Elo point of the season to the last, — climbed — points — the steepest rise in the Big 5 — while — gave back —.
Next season
The coda: 2026/27, already priced
Before a ball of 2026/27 is kicked, the simulation already makes — title favourite at —. The Annual closes where the Kickoff opens.
How each verdict was selected
Every section of the Annual is an honest selection over numbers the site already publishes — no new statistics, only filter, max and subtraction. Each rule below renders verbatim from the data file.