Forward simulation · 2026/27
The Kickoff
Next season, priced before a ball is kicked. The site's frozen Dixon–Coles engine takes the real 2026/27 fixture lists and plays every Big-5 season 10,000 times: a projected table with title, top-4 and relegation probabilities, and a win–draw–loss price on every opening-round fixture. Arsenal open as 60.9% title favourites; the promoted sides carry an honest prior, not a guess dressed as knowledge.
The projected table
Every league's 2026/27 season simulated 10,000 times from the frozen end-of-25/26 team strengths. Median points set the order; the probability columns count universes.
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| Pos | Team | Median pts | P(title) | P(top 4) | P(rel) |
|---|
The opening rounds
The first three matchdays of 2026/27, each fixture priced win–draw–loss straight from the model's corrected score matrix — no simulation noise, these are the analytic probabilities.